YES Forum Participants Expect "Contained" Frozen Conflict in UKRAINE in Three Years’ Time – Poll

YES Forum Participants Expect
12 September 2015

Asked what they thought Ukraine would look like in three years’ time, Ukrainian and international participants at the 12th Yalta European Strategy (YES) Annual Meeting believe that the country will see economic growth, stabilisation and a "contained" frozen conflict, according to the final interactive poll conducted at YES Forum in Kyiv on Saturday.

While exposing a small difference between the views of Ukrainian and international participants (53 percent versus 58 percent) the poll showed broadly similar thinking in each group.

The second most popular option amongst both groups was, "economic growth, stabilization, Crimea/East closer to solution" with almost 29 percent of Ukrainian participants and 22 percent of international participants believing this would be the situation in Ukraine in three years’ time.

About 14 percent of Ukrainian and 17 percent of international participants believe the country will be, "surviving on international support, uneasy ceasefire". 

The most gloomy scenario of "economic decline, destabilization, further loss of territory" was supported by only 3 percent each of Ukrainian and international participants.

The official Twitter of the 12th YES Annual Meeting is @yes_ukraine, and participants and followers can include the hashtag: #YESUkraine2015.

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Niall Ferguson
Niall Ferguson
Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, YES Annual Meeting 2022 “Ukraine: Defending all Our Freedom”
«Russia is bigger than Ukraine, its GDP is bigger than Ukraine’s and its population is bigger than Ukraine’s. You might therefore assume that Russia will prevail. But history shows that smaller countries fighting for their freedom do win»